From Birth to Death
by Dave Collins
Published on this site: April 2nd, 2005 - See
more articles from this month...

Your product is dying. With the same inevitability that we humans
move ever closer to death, so does every software application move
towards its eventual demise.
The difference is that we have become increasingly competent
at caring for ourselves and each other with the result that
our chances of a longer and fuller life continue to increase
with time. We have learned to recognise our own and each other's
positions in the life cycle, and become aware that we have
the means and ability to provide the care and environment
necessary for our continued survival and prosperity. We nurture
and care for our small children, and accept and encourage
their ability to stand on their own two feet as part of their
journey towards the day they will become are fully self-supporting.
In due course, they will care for us when we become old, and
in turn will one day be supported by their own children.
And so to software. A product's life cycle is not much different
from our own, yet despite our ability to cater for our own
changing needs, many of us are quite oblivious to the needs
of our products and software as time goes on. The concept
of the Product Life Cycle is a simple one, and allows you
to see where your product stands at any one time, and to assess
what circumstances lie ahead, by providing the information
that you need in order to react accordingly. In much the same
way that we do not wait for a child`s teenage years before
starting their education, or for an older person to become
so frail that they are unable to care for themselves, we should
not wait for the negative points in a product's life cycle
to be so obvious that it is too late to respond effectively.
There are four stages in the Product Life Cycle each with their
own recognisable symptoms, threats and opportunities, all of which
should be addressed individually.
The Early Days
Firstly, the Introduction stage. When a new product is introduced
to the market, the initial impact is usually very slight,
and spotting any emerging patterns is often close to impossible.
You're likely to enter the market with only the barest of
ripples, let alone a splash. There are exceptions to this.
Large advertising budgets, hype, pre-launch public interest
and new technologies may all increase the initial visibility
of a product's launch. Yet even a high-visibility campaign
will take time for customers to learn that a product is available,
and time for a significant demand to build up and become apparent.
For most of us, even with the most stringent of marketing
budgets, viable profits at this stage are unlikely, and the
possibility of actual short-term loss a very real one.
So how long should this stage last? The answer is almost impossible
to estimate with any degree of accuracy, as there are so many
variables involved. So much depends on the market demand for
the software, the marketing budget, visibility and so on.The
basic strategy at this stage is simply to get the product
"out here", and draw as muchattention to it as is
possible.
Growing Up
Next in the product's life cycle is the Growth stage. If
all goes according to plan, this stage should be easy to recognise
both in terms of sales and profits. But the risk is that many
companies will simply sit back and enjoy the ride and the
success. Absolutely not! The growth cycle is the time to aggressively
seek-out new opportunities, and to gain as much of the market
share as possible. Some fairly clear patterns should start
to emerge quite quickly at this stage, and it is usually obvious
what is working and what is wasting your time. Look for three
factors. The successful factors need to be looked
at, studied and improved. If a magazine editor gives you a
glowing write-up, capitalise on this by actively seek-out
more magazines, more editors and more glowing write-ups!
The "intermediate" factors are a little less obvious.
Results in this category tend to be steady and uninspiring,
but can show potential for improvement only if you
spot them. If for example you're getting a significant amount
of traffic from one or two of the search engines, then people
must be actively seeking what you sell. So get on more of
the search-engines, and spend some time on improving your
position.
And finally, the "On the Way Out" factor, which
is the easiest to spot, yet also the easiest to ignore. You
may like spending time on constantly optimising and improving
your website, but when you reach a certain point, the amount
of time required to do so outweighs the actual results. Anything
that you're doing that consumes time with nothing or little
to show for it should be avoided. Move on.
The Mature Product
The next point in the product's life cycle is the Maturity
stage. The euphoria of the growth stage slows down to a more
steady and sedate pace, which can often offer an abundance
of opportunities, and can also pose some potential threats.
Your competition is likely to be at it's fiercest during this
stage, and the level and success of your marketing will almost
certainly prove to be a critical factor in your product's
success. The Maturity stage is quite similar to human adulthood.
Massive growth is unlikely, and as long as we accept our age
and take care of ourselves, we can reasonably look forward
to a long and healthy future, both for us and our products.
Increasing the market share during the Maturity stage is
possible, but will probably not prove to be very cost effective.
Right now, the product is more likely to be affected by trends
in the market than at any other time. Assuming that demand
remains healthy, then marketing, promotion, advertising and
visibility are of the utmost importance in order to maintain
rather than increase. New packaging can help to rejuvenate
a product during the Maturity stage, as may new sales methods,
or aggressive competition either with the product's features
or price.
The Happy Pensioner
Finally, the Decline stage in the Product Life Cycle . The human
olden Years are not the death agonies. In the same way that most
pensioners enjoy many long and happy final years, so too can your
product! Round about this time a common error is to misread short-term
fluctuations, and misinterpret them as the beginning of the Decline
stage. Although the Product Life Cycle is theoretically a smooth
and quite elegant curve, the reality is that there are constant
variations that may be down to any number of external factors. The
diagram below demonstrates the point, and shows a realistic model
against the theoretical one.
The Decline stage does not mean that it's time to abandon your
product altogether, but that new and appropriate strategies may
be in order. For software, this may mean new versions and features,
adaptation to newer operating systems and hardware, price reductions,
in short, whatever is required to prolong the life of the product.
Try applying the concept of the Product Life Cycle model to your
application. You should be able to implement quite a few new options
and strategies once you have identified the current stage in your
product`s life cycle, and in the market itself. While the Product
Life Cycle concept is useful, it is equally important to consider
the xternal factors, particularly in response to the Decline phase.
My own favourite way of looking at these external factors is the
PEST analysis; Political, Economic, Social and Technological. Take
all of this information into account before applying any form of
life cycle based strategies.
Applying the Product Life Cycle to your application will allow
you to take a step back from the day-to-day running of your business,
and to see objectively where you are, and what opportunities and
threats lie ahead. You can use the information that this technique
gives you to ensure that your marketing efforts are not mistimed,
inappropriate and ineffective. As Sinatra said It was a Very
Good Year. Do it right. Be seen, be sold.

Dave Collins is the CEO of SharewarePromotions Ltd.,
a well established UK-based software and shareware marketing
company. Are your software sales slow? Find out how to promote
your software across the web and multiply your sales level
at http://www.sharewarepromotions.com

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